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Amb & Bf's NH Strategy Guide

Exclusive mathematical analysis for New Hampshire betting opportunities, DraftKings VIP, and sweepstakes logic.

Alright, like I said at Moka Pot, I understand that a main concern is: "There's only one book here (DraftKings), their opening offer is small, how am I going to make meaningful money or do both sides if there's only one side?" And the main NH offers on hand are not that special.

There's the "bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets" DraftKings promo, which is nice ROI-wise but not much money. DraftKings also has a 20% match up to $1000 on a $5000 deposit, but they dribble that $1000 out to you as you bet; you don't get it all upfront. It's not like Massachusetts or New Jersey where there's a full menu of operators all offering generous signup bonuses.

So where is the value?
Option 1: DraftKings VIP + Prediction Markets

If you call DraftKings to open an account and tell them that you want to make a larger deposit and want to hear what their promotional offers are, you can get more money. Sometimes on a $10,000 deposit, they will give you around a 40% match and give you $4,000 in bonus bets.

Then from there, you can bet that money against a prediction market like Kalshi, Novig, or Fanduel's prediction market, all of which operate in NH. It won't take another $10,000 to do that since you don't have to bet all the $10,000 at once (generally, you are either required or, for future account value purposes, heavily incentivized to bet through any money you deposit at least once).

Option 2: Sweepstakes

This one is pretty annoying and time-intensive, but it can add up to a lot. There are a bunch of online sweepstakes "social casinos" that let you purchase Gold Coins (which do not have value) and, as a "bonus," will give you Sweepstakes Coins which can be redeemed for cash.

Generally, the opening offer will be something like Spend $23.99 get 65 SC (effectively $65), which you then have to bet once. If you play slots with them, the Return to Player (RTP) is typically around 95%, so on average you are losing 5% on each bet.

The Math Logic

In practice, you rarely lose 5% on a round of slots; it's typically either going up quite a bit or going to zero. But on average, once you've done that one round of playthrough, you're at around $62. So on average, you're turning $24 into $62, more than doubling your money.

That's a small amount of money, but there are a ton of these things. Like over 100. And each one typically has a 2nd deposit special and a 3rd deposit special, so per casino you're averaging around $100 profit.

Which obviously times 100 sites becomes a real amount of money. $10k is not an unrealistic amount to make if you really suffer through opening all these dumb accounts and playing through the rounds of slots.

Now obviously a major downside is that you can't bet both sides here. Even on table games, they're not going to let you just bet red and bet black on roulette; you have to actually gamble. You're gambling in a positive expectation way, but you are still gambling. The exceptions are the Swagbucks casinos.

What are Swagbucks?

Swagbucks is a site that gets paid to refer people to open accounts, not just for sweepstakes but for SoFi or video games or whatever app developers want to generate leads for. For a few social casinos, they will pay you more than the amount you deposit.

For example, Swagbucks will give you $125 if you deposit $100 onto McLuck. So not only are you getting all the extra money that McLuck gives you, you're getting more real money from Swagbucks than you even deposited. Even if you lose every single dollar you deposit to McLuck playing slots, you will still make $25.

Which again by itself is not very exciting, but once you do it with enough sites, it can add up to a real amount of money, and once you've started doing those, you can take the winnings to deposit to the sites that do not participate with Swagbucks so that you're not touching your principal.

Offshores

The other big option available in NH is offshore sportsbooks. These will take credit or debit cards, but they prefer crypto. They will match your deposit often up to a pretty decent amount (like $1000) but make you play both the deposit and the bonus through far more than once, usually around 10 times over.

Examples here are bookmaker.eu, betonline.ag, and betanything.eu. You can read about them on sites like bookmakersreview.com.

Are they legal?

After UIGEA in 2006, it became illegal for credit card companies to accept bets in this way. That was an operator-side issue though, and recent court rulings have left the Wire Act pretty gutted. Some states have cracked down on Bovada (and on sweepstakes). NH has not bothered the sweepstakes companies and AFAIK has not had any enforcement actions against Bookmaker or any of the offshores.

What else is out there?

Well, one thing is driving to Massachusetts. Companies like BetMGM will give you up to $1500 back in bonus bets if your first bet loses. MA has a bunch of options, including Fanduel, BetMGM, Bet365, and theScore that will add up to a few thousand dollars if you bet them against each other.

Dark Horse Odds has a list, but I would crosscheck with Action and google any book to see if you're missing out on any offers.

Are you personally a good fit?

In some ways, no. It sounds like you already have enough money to not feel like dealing with Swagbucks or online slots, and you live in a state with pretty limited offers for the main domestic books.

I do think it's worth a quick day trip to or through MA to hit the big offers there that you haven't done. Let me know if any of the rest of it does sound intriguing or if you want to see some spreadsheets or information that I probably wouldn't post publicly with more specific numbers.